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ISR CDP MOD 1-2 Intel Community Analytic Standards.
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ISR CDP MOD 1-2 Intel Community Analytic Standards.
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ISR CDP MOD 1-2 Intel CommunityAnalytic Standards
10 AF standards to measure and assess analytic excellence: - ANS-AFI 14-133:
1. timeliness
2. appropriate sourcing
3. accuracy
4. level of confidence
5. assumptions vs. judgments
6. alternative analysis
7. relevance
8. logical argumentation
9. utility
10. customer engagement
10 concepts by which to measure the use of the 8 elements of thought: - ANS-1. clarity
2. gateway standard: if the statement is not clear, one cannot determine whether it is
accurate or relevant
3. accuracy- no errors, correct
4. precision- detailed, specific
5. relevance
6. depth
7. breadth: encompasses multiple viewpoints, comprehensive
8. logic- shows reasoning, doesn't contradict
9. significance
10. fairness- free from bias, dishonesty, favoritism, or deception
4 barriers to reasoning: - ANS-1. emotion: emotion hijacks reason
2. mental shortcuts: previous experiences shape our responses to new problems;
promotes efficient thinking
3. patterns: impose order and blind us to new explanations
4. groupthink: Irving Janis, psychologist from Yale- a deterioration of mental efficiency,
reality testing, and moral judgment as a result of in group pressures
4 mental blocks to creative thinking: - ANS-1. prejudice: preconceived notions that
inhibit us from accepting change and progress
2. learned helplessness: when you feel like you don't have the knowledge, materials, or
ability to do anything so you don't even try
, 3. functional fixation: we only focus on the name of something and not what it can do
4. psychological blocks: rejecting an idea/solution bc of your negative reaction towards it
4 types of cognitive bias - ANS-1. biases in evaluation of evidence
2. biases in perception of cause and effect
3. biases in estimating probability
4. biases in evaluation of reporting
5 methods to increase creative thinking: - ANS-1. evolution: incremental improvements
and change
2. synthesis: 2 or more existing ideas combined into a 3rd new idea
3. revolution: completely new idea
4. re-application: look at something old in a new way
5. changing direction (creative insight): shift attention from one angle of the problem to
another
7 defects in the decision making process because of groupthink: - ANS-1. discussion
limited to merely 2 or a few alternative COA's
2. no survey of objectives to be fulfilled and the values implicated by the choice
3. failure to re-examine the selected COA from the standpoint of non-obvious risk and
drawbacks not considered during the original evaluation
4. neglect COA's initially evaluated as unsatisfactory
5. little or no attempts to gain info from experts on other COA's
6. interest only in info that supports the group decision
7. failure to work out contingency plans to cope with foreseeable setbacks
8 Elements of Thought - ANS-1. purpose: goal/objective
2. question at issue: guides our thinking
3. information: facts, data, evidence
4. interpretation & inference: conclusions you come to
5. concepts:ideas, theories, laws that we use to make sense of things
6. assumptions: beliefs you take for granted
7. implications and consequences: follow from thoughts and actions
8. POV: the place from which you view something
8 IC standards to assess analytic excellence - ANS-all of AF standards except customer
engagement and timeliness
accuracy - ANS-make accurate judgments in light of missing info, assessment of
analysis will help identify bias and other tradecraft errors
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