Intelligence Analysis
Contents
Page
PREFACE v
INTRODUCTION vii
Chapter 1 INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS OVERVIEW 1-1
The Intelligence Warfighting Function 1-1
The Intelligence Analyst 1-1
Intelligence Analysis Process 1-2
Characteristics of Effective Intelligence 1-2
The Intelligence Process 1-2...
DISTRIBUTION RESTRICTION: Distribution authorized to U.S. Government agencies only because it
requires protection in accordance with AR 380-5 and as specified by DCS G-3 Message DTG 091913Z Mar
04. This determination was made on 12 January 2009. Contractor and other requests must be referred to
ATTN: ATZS-CDI-D, U.S. Army Intelligence Center and Fort Huachuca, AZ 85613-7017, or via email at
ATZS-FDC-D@conus.army.mil.
DESTRUCTION NOTICE: Destroy by any method that prevents disclosure of contents or reconstruction of
the document in accordance with AR 380-5.
Headquarters, Department of the Army
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
,This page intentionally left blank.
, *TC 2-33.4
Training Circular Headquarters
No. 2-33.4 Department of the Army
Washington, DC, 1 July 2009
Intelligence Analysis
Contents
Page
PREFACE ............................................................................................................... v
INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................. vii
Chapter 1 INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS OVERVIEW ........................................................... 1-1
The Intelligence Warfighting Function ................................................................. 1-1
The Intelligence Analyst ....................................................................................... 1-1
Intelligence Analysis Process ..............................................................................1-2
Characteristics of Effective Intelligence ...............................................................1-2
The Intelligence Process ..................................................................................... 1-2
Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield ............................................................. 1-3
Intelligence Running Estimate ............................................................................. 1-3
The Military Decisionmaking Process ..................................................................1-3
Chapter 2 ANALYTICAL PROCESSES, METHODOLOGIES, AND TERMS .....................2-1
Overview .............................................................................................................. 2-1
Critical Thinking ................................................................................................... 2-1
Types of Reasoning ............................................................................................. 2-8
The Scientific Method .......................................................................................... 2-9
Analysis of Competing Hypotheses ...................................................................2-10
Situational Logic .................................................................................................2-18
Applying Theory ................................................................................................. 2-19
Comparison ........................................................................................................2-19
Modeling ............................................................................................................ 2-19
Processes for Intelligence Analysis ...................................................................2-20
Analytical Terms ................................................................................................ 2-21
DISTRIBUTION RESTRICTION: Distribution authorized to U.S. Government agencies only because it requires
protection in accordance with AR 380-5 and as specified by DCS G-3 Message DTG 091913Z Mar 04. This
determination was made on 12 January 2009. Contractor and other requests must be referred to ATTN: ATZS-
CDI-D, U.S. Army Intelligence Center and Fort Huachuca, AZ 85613-7017, or via email at ATZS-FDC-
D@conus.army.mil.
DESTRUCTION NOTICE: Destroy by any method that prevents disclosure of contents or reconstruction of the
document in accordance with AR 380-5.
* This publication supersedes FM 34-3, 15 March 1990.
i
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
, Contents
Chapter 3 ANALYTICAL SUPPORT TO SITUATIONAL UNDERSTANDING ................... 3-1
Threat Analysis .................................................................................................... 3-1
Threat Characteristics Recordkeeping and Database ...................................... 3-12
Terrain Analysis ................................................................................................. 3-14
Weather Analysis .............................................................................................. 3-17
Civil Considerations ........................................................................................... 3-20
Cultural Database .............................................................................................. 3-24
Chapter 4 ANALYTICAL SUPPORT TO COURSE OF ACTION DEVELOPMENT 4-1
Situation Development ........................................................................................ 4-1
The Situation Map ............................................................................................... 4-2
Functional Analysis.............................................................................................. 4-6
Threat Courses of Action..................................................................................... 4-9
Indicators ........................................................................................................... 4-11
Chapter 5 ANALYTICAL TOOLS AND PRODUCTS .......................................................... 5-1
Analytical Techniques and Tools ......................................................................... 5-1
Automation Support to Intelligence Analysis ..................................................... 5-18
Appendix A ANALYTICAL PITFALLS .................................................................................. A-1
Appendix B THE INTELLIGENCE RUNNING ESTIMATE ................................................... B-1
Appendix C INDICATORS..................................................................................................... C-1
Appendix D OTHER ANALYTICAL APPROACHES ............................................................ D-1
Appendix E THREAT CHARACTERISTICS AND INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS IN
COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS ........................................................ E-1
GLOSSARY .......................................................................................... Glossary-1
REFERENCES.................................................................................. References-1
INDEX ......................................................................................................... Index-1
Figures
Figure 2-1. Example of analysis of competing hypotheses matrix ........................................ 2-13
Figure 3-1. Grouping mobility corridors to establish avenues of approach ........................... 3-15
Figure 3-2. Combined obstacle overlay example .................................................................. 3-16
Figure 3-3. Example light data chart......................................................................................3-18
Figure 3-4. National Weather Service wind chill factor chart ................................................ 3-18
Figure 3-5. Example of a weather effects chart ..................................................................... 3-19
Figure 3-6. Example of shared weather effects analysis ....................................................... 3-20
Figure 3-7. Example civil considerations product concerning tribes and ethnic groups .......3-23
Figure 3-8. Example population status overlay ..................................................................... 3-24
Figure 4-1. Cycle for situational understanding ....................................................................... 4-2
Figure 4-2. Example of a situation map ................................................................................... 4-5
Figure 4-3. Depiction of threat functions during an assault ..................................................... 4-7
Contents
iv TC 2-33.4 1 July 2009
FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
The benefits of buying summaries with Stuvia:
Guaranteed quality through customer reviews
Stuvia customers have reviewed more than 700,000 summaries. This how you know that you are buying the best documents.
Quick and easy check-out
You can quickly pay through credit card or Stuvia-credit for the summaries. There is no membership needed.
Focus on what matters
Your fellow students write the study notes themselves, which is why the documents are always reliable and up-to-date. This ensures you quickly get to the core!
Frequently asked questions
What do I get when I buy this document?
You get a PDF, available immediately after your purchase. The purchased document is accessible anytime, anywhere and indefinitely through your profile.
Satisfaction guarantee: how does it work?
Our satisfaction guarantee ensures that you always find a study document that suits you well. You fill out a form, and our customer service team takes care of the rest.
Who am I buying these notes from?
Stuvia is a marketplace, so you are not buying this document from us, but from seller BROWSEGRADES76. Stuvia facilitates payment to the seller.
Will I be stuck with a subscription?
No, you only buy these notes for $12.49. You're not tied to anything after your purchase.
