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Summary Document BUS:625 Week 5 Reflective Journal BUS:625 Data & Decision Analytics In this weeks assigned reading, Tetlock (2017), discussed whether forecasting would be more accurate if Its done in teams or individually. The author used the Bay of Pigs In $7.49   Add to cart

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Summary Document BUS:625 Week 5 Reflective Journal BUS:625 Data & Decision Analytics In this weeks assigned reading, Tetlock (2017), discussed whether forecasting would be more accurate if Its done in teams or individually. The author used the Bay of Pigs In

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Document BUS:625 Week 5 Reflective Journal BUS:625 Data & Decision Analytics In this weeks assigned reading, Tetlock (2017), discussed whether forecasting would be more accurate if Its done in teams or individually. The author used the Bay of Pigs Invasion that happened during the Kennedy admi...

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  • January 9, 2022
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BUS:625
Week 5 Reflective Journal

BUS:625 Data & Decision Analytics




In this week’s assigned reading, Tetlock (2017), discussed whether forecasting would be more

accurate if It’s done in teams or individually. The author used the Bay of Pigs Invasion that

happened during the Kennedy administration which was poorly executed. It was found that this

failure was a result of poor planning and decision-making. This mission was planned by a group

of members that were just trying to reach an agreement with the group and come up with a

decision that makes everyone happy regardless of the rationale of the outcomes. The same team

who planned the Bay of Pigs Invasion were assigned a different mission but this time they

learned from their mistakes and began to questions their assumptions and consider other opinions

individually. This method leads to success and prevented the issues that arise from group

thinking. I’m group forecasting, there should be room for change and flexibility in the decision-

making process. Regardless of the risk associated with groupthink, forecasting as a team can lead

to better results than the individual can reach. After conducting research, Tetlock (2017), stated

that teams predict more accurately than individuals. Nevertheless, working in groups doesn’t

guarantee success, there should be an open-minded and sharing culture among the team. It’s also

critical to have diverse people with different perspectives.



It is also especially important for leaders and teams to be humble (Tetlock, 2015). We need to be

able to openly admit what we know and do not know. If we pretend to know what is going on,

then we are more likely to run into issues. In one of previous journal entries, I discussed about

how my team wasn't familiar with sterilization programs and what the budgets and timelines

look like. Had we made budget and timeline estimates without doing any research, we would

have made incorrect estimates. This would have resulted in poor resource and budget planning

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