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Summary Document BUS:625 Week 5 Reflective Journal BUS:625 Data & Decision Analytics In this weeks assigned reading, Tetlock (2017), discussed whether forecasting would be more accurate if Its done in teams or individually. The author used the Bay of Pigs In$7.49
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Summary Document BUS:625 Week 5 Reflective Journal BUS:625 Data & Decision Analytics In this weeks assigned reading, Tetlock (2017), discussed whether forecasting would be more accurate if Its done in teams or individually. The author used the Bay of Pigs In
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Ashford University
Document BUS:625 Week 5 Reflective Journal BUS:625 Data & Decision Analytics In this weeks assigned reading, Tetlock (2017), discussed whether forecasting would be more accurate if Its done in teams or individually. The author used the Bay of Pigs Invasion that happened during the Kennedy admi...
document bus625 week 5 reflective journal bus625 data amp decision analytics in this weeks assigned reading
tetlock 2017
discussed whether forecasting would be more accurate if its done in
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BUS:625
Week 5 Reflective Journal
BUS:625 Data & Decision Analytics
In this week’s assigned reading, Tetlock (2017), discussed whether forecasting would be more
accurate if It’s done in teams or individually. The author used the Bay of Pigs Invasion that
happened during the Kennedy administration which was poorly executed. It was found that this
failure was a result of poor planning and decision-making. This mission was planned by a group
of members that were just trying to reach an agreement with the group and come up with a
decision that makes everyone happy regardless of the rationale of the outcomes. The same team
who planned the Bay of Pigs Invasion were assigned a different mission but this time they
learned from their mistakes and began to questions their assumptions and consider other opinions
individually. This method leads to success and prevented the issues that arise from group
thinking. I’m group forecasting, there should be room for change and flexibility in the decision-
making process. Regardless of the risk associated with groupthink, forecasting as a team can lead
to better results than the individual can reach. After conducting research, Tetlock (2017), stated
that teams predict more accurately than individuals. Nevertheless, working in groups doesn’t
guarantee success, there should be an open-minded and sharing culture among the team. It’s also
critical to have diverse people with different perspectives.
It is also especially important for leaders and teams to be humble (Tetlock, 2015). We need to be
able to openly admit what we know and do not know. If we pretend to know what is going on,
then we are more likely to run into issues. In one of previous journal entries, I discussed about
how my team wasn't familiar with sterilization programs and what the budgets and timelines
look like. Had we made budget and timeline estimates without doing any research, we would
have made incorrect estimates. This would have resulted in poor resource and budget planning
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